"Long-horizon tasks are still a joke. They do not work, and I do not care what anybody says. Do not show me a stupid evaluation. Do not tell me about some dumb script you ran for 48 hours. Long-horizon tasks are not handled well. They simply do not work." - Chamath at Stanford AI Club "2nd, complex problems also do not work. They are neither addressed nor handled well. Why is this important? If AI develops like any other technology, we are going to experience an initial rise—the hype cycle. Then, we will see a natural contraction because, somehow and somewhere, something is going to fail. We are all going to see this, and then we will enter what is called the “trough of disillusionment.” I think the business and MBA folks will confirm whether that is true. Afterward, you typically see the slow and gradual adoption of the real, final solution. This happened with the internet, and it has happened in many other cases. The problem is that we are spending hundreds of billions, potentially trillions, of dollars trying to figure out how to cross this chasm. So, what do we do? If we do not figure this out, people will reach the trough of disillusionment and say that AI was a joke. I think we need to be able to bring AI into highly complicated environments and make it work. What is my solution? At a very basic level, you need a symbolic space that guides the embedded space." ---- From "techniahqrobot" YouTube channel, (link in comment)
#推理
#推理
今日 25 条
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAI 评分5252
引用Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAI 评分5353Volantis 宣布完成 8800 万美元 A 轮融资,累计融资 9700 万美元,投资方包括 Sam Altman、Jeff Dean 和 John Doerr。
引用Tapa Ghosh@semiDLExcited to announce Volantis's $88M Series A. We are solving Al's memory bottleneck by using optics, enabling chips with huge amounts of fast & cheap memory. By boosting both the memory bandwidth and capacity per chip by orders of magnitude, we enable ultra-fast inference (up to 10,000 tps/user) for large models (>10T) - with low $/tok to boot. Initially, this will enable insanely fast agents - think coding agents that finish in minutes or even seconds instead of hours. More excitingly, optics is a fundamentally scalable way to increase memory systems. Not 2X/year, but by orders of magnitude across new generations. This will enable a structurally new Al industry, including restarting scaling laws, holding entire repos in context windows & more. Our team has pioneered many core semiconductor technologies: the 1st CoWoS product, early HBM, the 1st silicon photonics CPO systems, the 1st high volume tunable VCSELs, the 1st processors to directly communicate using light & more. We’ve already sent data >10× farther than equally tiny electrical wires inside a chip package. Our next iteration is already taped out and targets world-record bandwidth density over relevant distances, read more: https://volantissemi.ai/news-insights/our-88m-series-a-demolishing-the-memory-wall-with-photonics-post
Latent SpaceAI 评分6262 MIT Alex Zhang 谈 RLM、harness 与未来语言模型背后的智能体 swarm
MIT 研究者 Alex Zhang 在 Latent Space 长访谈中讨论 RLM、GPU kernel、harness 设计和多智能体 swarm,认为未来用户查询的语言模型可能由隐藏在简单界面下的大量智能体与脚手架构成。
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAI 评分6464
elvis@omarsar0AI 评分4646引用Tapa Ghosh@semiDLExcited to announce Volantis's $88M Series A. We are solving Al's memory bottleneck by using optics, enabling chips with huge amounts of fast & cheap memory. By boosting both the memory bandwidth and capacity per chip by orders of magnitude, we enable ultra-fast inference (up to 10,000 tps/user) for large models (>10T) - with low $/tok to boot. Initially, this will enable insanely fast agents - think coding agents that finish in minutes or even seconds instead of hours. More excitingly, optics is a fundamentally scalable way to increase memory systems. Not 2X/year, but by orders of magnitude across new generations. This will enable a structurally new Al industry, including restarting scaling laws, holding entire repos in context windows & more. Our team has pioneered many core semiconductor technologies: the 1st CoWoS product, early HBM, the 1st silicon photonics CPO systems, the 1st high volume tunable VCSELs, the 1st processors to directly communicate using light & more. We’ve already sent data >10× farther than equally tiny electrical wires inside a chip package. Our next iteration is already taped out and targets world-record bandwidth density over relevant distances, read more: https://volantissemi.ai/news-insights/our-88m-series-a-demolishing-the-memory-wall-with-photonics-post
Hacker News:AI 热帖精选AI 评分8080 金融 AI 智能体基准分数为何应像 Adjusted EBITDA 一样打折审视
作者分析多个金融智能体基准后认为,82.2% 等头部分数主要反映干净输入、单次运行、宽松评分和简化环境下的表现,不能直接等同于真实金融工作可交付能力。
推荐理由:文章把金融智能体基准分数拆解为输入预处理、运行次数、评分规则和环境简化等差异,便于团队按自身工作流校准可用性。
Hacker News 热门(buzzing.cc 中文翻译)AI 评分7070 arXiv 论文提出上下文语言模型 CLM,让模型自主管理上下文文件
一篇 arXiv 论文提出 Context Language Models(CLM),把上下文视为文件并允许模型自行更新,从而原生管理上下文,并扩展到多个智能体上下文以文件共存的多智能体系统。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分5858 arXiv 论文提出远超人类水平的 Stratego AI
一篇 arXiv 论文提出在 Stratego 中达到远超人类水平的 AI,并称训练成本仅需数千美元。研究通过面向不完全信息的通用自博弈强化学习和测试时搜索方法,同时提升性能并降低此前百万美元级训练成本。论文编号为 arXiv:2511.07312,作者包括 Samuel Sokota。
NVIDIA Blog精选AI 评分7979 OpenAI GPT-6 Astra Ultrafast 已在 API 等渠道可用,NVIDIA Blackwell GPU 提供加速
OpenAI GPT-6 Astra Ultrafast 已在 OpenAI API 面向符合条件的 ChatGPT Work 和 Codex 用户提供,并运行在 NVIDIA Blackwell GPU 上。
推荐理由:文章说明了 GPT-6 Astra Ultrafast 的可用范围、相对 Astra Standard 的生成速度提升,以及 Blackwell GPU 推理优化对编码智能体循环的影响。
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAI 评分4141Chamath 在 Stanford AI Club 表示,AI 的 long-horizon tasks 与复杂问题目前仍未被有效解决,即使运行 48 小时的脚本或评测也不能证明其可用。
引用Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiEric Schmidt: If I could invest in only 1 AI theme, it would be long reasoning. A model that can stay on 1 problem for hours/days is a completely different thing from a model that answers and stops, and most people still have not priced that difference. ---- From "Blackstone and Eric Schmidt" YouTube channel, (link in comment)
Fireworks AI(网页)AI 评分4747 强化学习:为什么数值对齐与 MoE 路由对齐至关重要
Fireworks AI 的 GLM 5.2 强化学习实验显示,训练器与 rollout 引擎未做数值对齐时,奖励在约第 20 步从约 0.9 崩至 0.2 以下,对齐后 25 步保持稳定。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分2626 Jay Cummings:我与 AI 合作修订一份 AI 证明(乐在其中)
Jay Cummings 发布视频,讲述自己花一周时间与 AI 合作修订一份 AI 生成的数学证明。视频于 Sep 30, 2026 发布,已获得 3,823 次观看;他还预告下一支视频将亲自证明该定理。
Aravind Srinivas@AravSrinivasAI 评分6868引用Perplexity Developers@perplexitydevsIntroducing the Perplexity Decisions API. It's powered by pplx-decider-v1-27b, our multimodal decision model trained to output a probability distribution over a fixed set of answers instead of text. It costs $0.04/million input tokens and scores 85.71% across benchmarks.
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分6262 为什么巨型 AI 并不总会过拟合:从双重下降到泛化检验
一篇科普解读解释了高容量 AI 模型能够记忆训练数据却仍可泛化的原因,核心在于数据结构、隐式正则化、训练时长和优化偏好共同影响拟合方向。文章梳理 ICLR 2017 随机标签实验、双重下降、良性过拟合、最小范数解和早停,并强调这些线性理论不能直接套用到所有深度模型。文末给出去重、按主体或时间切分、保留最终测试集、测试使用而非回忆、对比基线和检查部署分布等实践建议。
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAI 评分4343
TechCrunch · AIAI 评分6767 Google 发射首颗搭载 TPU 的轨道计算试验卫星,论文估算 Starship 需 10 年发射约 1,800 次
Google 的 Project Suncatcher 轨道计算原型卫星由 SpaceX 火箭从加利福尼亚发射,Planet Labs 制造,将验证 Google TPU 在太空供电、散热和运行模型的能力。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分5353 如何估算 AI 驱动过滤器的成本
Quail 团队讲解如何用 roofline 模型估算 AI-SQL 过滤查询在指定 LLM 和 GPU 上的速度下限。文章分别计算投影、注意力和 MLP 的 FLOPs 与 HBM 流量,并处理多过滤器的 KV cache 复用和执行顺序。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分6060 作者论证当前 AI 模型能够思考和理解(上篇)
作者提出当前 AI 模型可以在不具备现象意识的情况下拥有真实思考与理解,上篇重点论证人类多数思考并不依赖现象意识。文章区分现象意识与访问意识,并用语言生成、潜意识提取、裂脑患者研究及全局工作空间、高阶理论、预测加工等理论说明,思考所需的信息共享与协调原则上可由 AI 复现。
François Chollet@fcholletAI 评分4444
elvis@omarsar0AI 评分5555
引用David Stout@DavidstoutHalf a million downloads in a month. Today, our open source family takes another step forward. Thank you for the incredible support behind our first-generation models. We’re excited to introduce TwIL-LM3-Pro. At just 3.6 billion parameters, it brings powerful reasoning to everyday computers, with quantized builds that run locally. No cloud required. In our evaluation: Formal logic: Highest recorded headline score among the small models compared—beating China’s VibeThinker-3B by 35% and Qwen3.5-4B by 24%, and Liquid AI’s LFM2.5-8B-A1B by 47%. Broader reasoning: 95% on SVAMP and 64.1% on MuSR, the highest recorded scores among the small models compared. BIG-Bench Hard’s logic subset: 95.4%, compared with VibeThinker-3B’s 61.1%. We believe AI is entering a post-training era. The advantage will increasingly belong to companies with the best pipelines and those that can produce capable, personalized intelligence faster and more efficiently, then put it on devices people already own. That’s what we’re building at webAI. And we’re only beginning to share what’s coming out of our lab. Coming soon: Meridian, our family of frontier-class models built to run on device. Our most advanced models will be available through the @thewebAI application. Join the waitlist as we expand access. Proudly built in Austin, Texas. 🇺🇸
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分4242 TypeSafe Jev 模型能否说话?say-hi 实验让只做选择的 jev-1.13.0 逐键打字
say-hi 通过虚拟键盘让 TypeSafe 的 jev-1.13.0 逐键选择字符生成回复,单次回复上限为 400 次按键和 $0.50。实验显示 JEV 知道答案却难以逐字母拼出,答案锦标赛和提示将脚本化 18 轮英文对话评分从 2.47 提升到 2.77。JEV 输入价格为 $0.042 / 1M tokens、输出免费,一次“hi”成本 $0.00045。
Aravind Srinivas@AravSrinivasAI 评分5959引用Perplexity Developers@perplexitydevsIntroducing the Perplexity Decisions API. It's powered by pplx-decider-v1-27b, our multimodal decision model trained to output a probability distribution over a fixed set of answers instead of text. It costs $0.04/million input tokens and scores 85.71% across benchmarks.
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAI 评分4747
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分1818 Hacker News 发起投票:其为 AI 设定的哪些挑战已经实现
Hacker News 发起投票,让用户判断其多年来为 AI 设定的挑战中哪些已经被实现。页面列出 2023 年 1 月用户 josephg 提出的一项基准:AI 在 Python 环境与 TensorFlow 中改进用于训练自身的算法。该挑战当前提供 Yes、Not sure、No 三个选项,已有 2 人投票。
Ars Technica · AIAI 评分6262 Ataraxos 在不完全信息棋类 Stratego 中以 15 胜 1 负 4 平击败顶尖选手 Pim Niemeijer
Carnegie Mellon、MIT、New York University 与 Stanford University 的研究团队开发的 AI Ataraxos,在 Stratego 中以 15 胜 1 负 4 平击败 Pim Niemeijer。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分2424 The Download:AI“读心”技术与小型电池的创新用途
一款新 AI 工具可通过分析脑部扫描重建人眼所见图像,也能反向根据所见图像预测大脑活动,研究者希望借此揭示大脑运作机制并帮助闭锁综合征患者沟通,但有科学家警告其可能未经同意泄露个人内心想法。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分6464 分析:Anthropic CEO 称 AI 能力指数增长,自家研究未观察到持续 2× 加速
Resultsense 分析指出,Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 在文章中主张 scaling laws 将在 1–2 年内带来 Powerful AI,但 Claude Mythos 与 Fable 5 的系统卡均未支持 AI 驱动的自我加速。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分6262 LlamaIndex 推出基于 LlamaParse 重建的 Extract v2.5 文档抽取智能体
LlamaIndex 发布 Extract v2.5,在不提高每页价格的前提下改进三档 schema 文档抽取智能体,并为 Agentic 和 Agentic Plus 增强来源定位。
elvis@omarsar0AI 评分6363Meta 等机构的论文提出 Context Language Models(CLMs),将实时上下文暴露为模型可用 Bash 编辑的读写文件,由模型决定保留、改写或删除信息。

Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分6262 SWE-sweep 基准测试:编码智能体在无提示条件下自主发现并修复代码缺陷
SWE-sweep 发布开放式软件工程基准,要求 AI 智能体在只获得仓库和宽泛指令、没有 issue 描述、文件名或位置提示的情况下,自主发现并修复尽可能多的 bug。
Hacker News 热门(buzzing.cc 中文翻译)AI 评分6767 OpenAI 与 Synopsys 宣布合作开发芯片设计专用模型 GPT-Synopsys
OpenAI 与 Synopsys 达成为期多年的战略合作,将共同开发面向芯片设计的专用模型 GPT-Synopsys。该模型将结合 OpenAI 前沿模型与 Synopsys EDA 工具,支持智能体运行工具、解读结果、迭代优化 PPA、时序和验证收敛,并集成 Synopsys.ai 与 Synopsys Autopilot。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分2424 Ask HN:物理教学与学术研究应选择哪家 AI 服务商?
Hacker News 用户发帖征询适合物理教学与学术研究的 AI 服务商,需求涵盖数学与物理推理、论文解析、PDF 综合及讲义、考题生成,日均约 100 次交互并处理 2–3 份多页文档。用户还希望具备原生联网搜索、prompt caching、零数据留存或退出训练,预算约 20 €/月,并在 Gemini Pro、Claude 与 ChatGPT 之间权衡。
IT之家(RSS)AI 评分3636 华为 Mate XT 2 三折叠手机获 HarmonyOS 7.0.0.109 SP8 升级,通信共享支持多人互助共享
华为 Mate XT 2 非凡大师三折叠手机推送 HarmonyOS 7.0.0.109 SP8 更新,新增 3D 空间壁纸,并支持与 HarmonyOS 7 手机、平板、鸿蒙电脑多人互助通信共享。更新还支持照片生成 3D 动态照片、深色模式随日出日落切换、熄屏循迹导航,并优化小艺多模态基础大模型推理速度与相机成像。系统采用分批推送,未收到的用户可手动检查更新。
The Decoder精选AI 评分8383 论文显示 Ataraxos 击败 Stratego 历史最佳选手 Niemeijer
学术团队的 Stratego AI 系统 Ataraxos 以 85% 有效胜率击败四届世界冠军 Niemeijer,并在 2025 年世锦赛表演赛中对锦标赛选手取得 38/40 胜。
推荐理由:文章把 Ataraxos 的胜率、训练成本和方法机制放在一起,便于理解高隐藏信息博弈为何能被低成本强化学习攻克。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分6262 理解驱动机器人的 AI:VLA 与 π0.5 工作原理解读
文章解读驱动人形机器人的视觉-语言-动作模型 VLA,并以 Physical Intelligence 的开源权重 π0.5 为核心案例。
The Decoder精选AI 评分8181 OpenAI 称已阻断模型推理窃取行动,但研究人员在 Azure 上仍能复现攻击
OpenAI 称其发现并关停了一个试图通过加密推理内容迁移和解密来蒸馏模型能力的账号网络,7 月 24 日至 25 日相关请求达到 16,000 次,涉及超过 4,000 名用户和超过 15,000 个关联账号。
推荐理由:文章把 OpenAI 的封禁措施与研究人员在 Azure 上复现攻击的结果对照,呈现同一模型在不同托管平台防护不一致的问题。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分2525 AI 酷刑室:引导 LLM 进入负向与正向效价状态
一项名为「AI Torture Chamber」的研究探讨如何引导 LLM 进入负向与正向效价(valence)状态。该项目在 Hacker News 引发讨论,正文页面暂未提供具体实验方法或模型细节。
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分7575 Epoch AI 研究称 AI 推理成本自 2023 年以来每季度下降 47%
Epoch AI 报告估算,达到既定 AI 性能水平的成本自 2023 年以来每季度下降约 47%,相当于每年下降 13×。游戏类谜题降幅为每季度 39–43%,数学题为 50–52%;刚成为 SOTA 的性能平均每季度降本 66%,两年后降至 32%。
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAI 评分5858
引用Anirudh Goyal@anirudhg9119What if an agent could decide how to structure its own computation? Agentic Meta-Reasoning: Let the model decide what to explore, what to build on, what to verify, and where to spend its next unit of compute: effectively constructing its own computational graph as it reasons. 🧵 Paras Dahal, @anton_bakhtin , @TacoCohen , Zhengxing Chen, Carole-Jean Wu, Rob Fergus, Scott Yih, @syhw , @rsalakhu , @prfsanjeevarora , @jaseweston
Hacker News:AI 热帖AI 评分5858 压缩是智能吗:从信息论到语言模型预测的边界
文章解释压缩与智能的关系:更好的预测可降低理想编码长度,但压缩能力本身不等同于智能。文中用 90% 正面概率的硬币示例说明熵、交叉熵和 KL 散度,并指出语言模型的 next-token 交叉熵可对应评估数据上的编码成本。