跳到正文

#推理

今日 25 条
10月2日周五
  1. Rohan Paul52

    MerchantBench 评测 8 个领先 LLM 在 365 天电商运营模拟中的长期一致性,最佳配置 Qwen3.7-Max with Hermes 的最终净资产仅为人类参与者平均水平的 27.3%。

    引用Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai

    "Long-horizon tasks are still a joke. They do not work, and I do not care what anybody says. Do not show me a stupid evaluation. Do not tell me about some dumb script you ran for 48 hours. Long-horizon tasks are not handled well. They simply do not work." - Chamath at Stanford AI Club "2nd, complex problems also do not work. They are neither addressed nor handled well. Why is this important? If AI develops like any other technology, we are going to experience an initial rise—the hype cycle. Then, we will see a natural contraction because, somehow and somewhere, something is going to fail. We are all going to see this, and then we will enter what is called the “trough of disillusionment.” I think the business and MBA folks will confirm whether that is true. Afterward, you typically see the slow and gradual adoption of the real, final solution. This happened with the internet, and it has happened in many other cases. The problem is that we are spending hundreds of billions, potentially trillions, of dollars trying to figure out how to cross this chasm. So, what do we do? If we do not figure this out, people will reach the trough of disillusionment and say that AI was a joke. I think we need to be able to bring AI into highly complicated environments and make it work. What is my solution? At a very basic level, you need a symbolic space that guides the embedded space." ---- From "techniahqrobot" YouTube channel, (link in comment)

  2. Rohan Paul53

    Volantis 宣布完成 8800 万美元 A 轮融资,累计融资 9700 万美元,投资方包括 Sam Altman、Jeff Dean 和 John Doerr。

    引用Tapa Ghosh@semiDL

    Excited to announce Volantis's $88M Series A. We are solving Al's memory bottleneck by using optics, enabling chips with huge amounts of fast & cheap memory. By boosting both the memory bandwidth and capacity per chip by orders of magnitude, we enable ultra-fast inference (up to 10,000 tps/user) for large models (>10T) - with low $/tok to boot. Initially, this will enable insanely fast agents - think coding agents that finish in minutes or even seconds instead of hours. More excitingly, optics is a fundamentally scalable way to increase memory systems. Not 2X/year, but by orders of magnitude across new generations. This will enable a structurally new Al industry, including restarting scaling laws, holding entire repos in context windows & more. Our team has pioneered many core semiconductor technologies: the 1st CoWoS product, early HBM, the 1st silicon photonics CPO systems, the 1st high volume tunable VCSELs, the 1st processors to directly communicate using light & more. We’ve already sent data >10× farther than equally tiny electrical wires inside a chip package. Our next iteration is already taped out and targets world-record bandwidth density over relevant distances, read more: https://volantissemi.ai/news-insights/our-88m-series-a-demolishing-the-memory-wall-with-photonics-post

  3. elvis46

    我认为更快的推理是编码智能体接下来的重大突破之一。 Volantis 正利用光学技术,为每颗芯片提供大得多的内存和高得多的内存带宽。他们的目标是在参数量超过 10T 的模型上,实现每用户每秒最高 10,000 tokens。这太疯狂了! 在那样的速度下,如今需要数小时的编码智能体,几分钟内就能完成。 这绝对是我近期见过更令人兴奋的融资之一。

    引用Tapa Ghosh@semiDL

    Excited to announce Volantis's $88M Series A. We are solving Al's memory bottleneck by using optics, enabling chips with huge amounts of fast & cheap memory. By boosting both the memory bandwidth and capacity per chip by orders of magnitude, we enable ultra-fast inference (up to 10,000 tps/user) for large models (>10T) - with low $/tok to boot. Initially, this will enable insanely fast agents - think coding agents that finish in minutes or even seconds instead of hours. More excitingly, optics is a fundamentally scalable way to increase memory systems. Not 2X/year, but by orders of magnitude across new generations. This will enable a structurally new Al industry, including restarting scaling laws, holding entire repos in context windows & more. Our team has pioneered many core semiconductor technologies: the 1st CoWoS product, early HBM, the 1st silicon photonics CPO systems, the 1st high volume tunable VCSELs, the 1st processors to directly communicate using light & more. We’ve already sent data >10× farther than equally tiny electrical wires inside a chip package. Our next iteration is already taped out and targets world-record bandwidth density over relevant distances, read more: https://volantissemi.ai/news-insights/our-88m-series-a-demolishing-the-memory-wall-with-photonics-post

  4. Hacker News:AI 热帖80

    金融 AI 智能体基准分数为何应像 Adjusted EBITDA 一样打折审视

    作者分析多个金融智能体基准后认为,82.2% 等头部分数主要反映干净输入、单次运行、宽松评分和简化环境下的表现,不能直接等同于真实金融工作可交付能力。

    推荐理由:文章把金融智能体基准分数拆解为输入预处理、运行次数、评分规则和环境简化等差异,便于团队按自身工作流校准可用性。

  5. Hacker News:AI 热帖58

    arXiv 论文提出远超人类水平的 Stratego AI

    一篇 arXiv 论文提出在 Stratego 中达到远超人类水平的 AI,并称训练成本仅需数千美元。研究通过面向不完全信息的通用自博弈强化学习和测试时搜索方法,同时提升性能并降低此前百万美元级训练成本。论文编号为 arXiv:2511.07312,作者包括 Samuel Sokota。

  6. Rohan Paul41

    Chamath 在 Stanford AI Club 表示,AI 的 long-horizon tasks 与复杂问题目前仍未被有效解决,即使运行 48 小时的脚本或评测也不能证明其可用。

    引用Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai

    Eric Schmidt: If I could invest in only 1 AI theme, it would be long reasoning. A model that can stay on 1 problem for hours/days is a completely different thing from a model that answers and stops, and most people still have not priced that difference. ---- From "Blackstone and Eric Schmidt" YouTube channel, (link in comment)

  7. Aravind Srinivas68

    Perplexity 开源多模态决策模型 pplx-decider-27b,并通过新的 Decisions API 提供 pplx-decider-v1-27b。该模型针对固定答案集合输出概率分布而非文本,价格为 $0.04/million input tokens,输出 token 免费;官方称其在 11 项决策基准、7,210 行固定测试集上的总体准确率为 85.71%。

    引用Perplexity Developers@perplexitydevs

    Introducing the Perplexity Decisions API. It's powered by pplx-decider-v1-27b, our multimodal decision model trained to output a probability distribution over a fixed set of answers instead of text. It costs $0.04/million input tokens and scores 85.71% across benchmarks.

  8. Hacker News:AI 热帖62

    为什么巨型 AI 并不总会过拟合:从双重下降到泛化检验

    一篇科普解读解释了高容量 AI 模型能够记忆训练数据却仍可泛化的原因,核心在于数据结构、隐式正则化、训练时长和优化偏好共同影响拟合方向。文章梳理 ICLR 2017 随机标签实验、双重下降、良性过拟合、最小范数解和早停,并强调这些线性理论不能直接套用到所有深度模型。文末给出去重、按主体或时间切分、保留最终测试集、测试使用而非回忆、对比基线和检查部署分布等实践建议。

  9. Hacker News:AI 热帖60

    作者论证当前 AI 模型能够思考和理解(上篇)

    作者提出当前 AI 模型可以在不具备现象意识的情况下拥有真实思考与理解,上篇重点论证人类多数思考并不依赖现象意识。文章区分现象意识与访问意识,并用语言生成、潜意识提取、裂脑患者研究及全局工作空间、高阶理论、预测加工等理论说明,思考所需的信息共享与协调原则上可由 AI 复现。

  10. elvis55

    webAI 发布开源模型 TwIL-LM3-Pro,参数为 3.6B,提供量化版本,可在日常电脑本地运行且无需云端。转发者称其 BIG-Bench Hard 逻辑子集得分为 95.4%,高于 Qwen3-8B 的 63.7%;训练流程包括形式逻辑微调、将权重向基础模型合并,再用程序化验证器运行 RL。webAI 还表示后续将推出端侧前沿级模型系列 Meridian。

    引用David Stout@Davidstout

    Half a million downloads in a month. Today, our open source family takes another step forward. Thank you for the incredible support behind our first-generation models. We’re excited to introduce TwIL-LM3-Pro. At just 3.6 billion parameters, it brings powerful reasoning to everyday computers, with quantized builds that run locally. No cloud required. In our evaluation: Formal logic: Highest recorded headline score among the small models compared—beating China’s VibeThinker-3B by 35% and Qwen3.5-4B by 24%, and Liquid AI’s LFM2.5-8B-A1B by 47%. Broader reasoning: 95% on SVAMP and 64.1% on MuSR, the highest recorded scores among the small models compared. BIG-Bench Hard’s logic subset: 95.4%, compared with VibeThinker-3B’s 61.1%. We believe AI is entering a post-training era. The advantage will increasingly belong to companies with the best pipelines and those that can produce capable, personalized intelligence faster and more efficiently, then put it on devices people already own. That’s what we’re building at webAI. And we’re only beginning to share what’s coming out of our lab. Coming soon: Meridian, our family of frontier-class models built to run on device. Our most advanced models will be available through the @thewebAI application. Join the waitlist as we expand access. Proudly built in Austin, Texas. 🇺🇸

  11. Hacker News:AI 热帖42

    TypeSafe Jev 模型能否说话?say-hi 实验让只做选择的 jev-1.13.0 逐键打字

    say-hi 通过虚拟键盘让 TypeSafe 的 jev-1.13.0 逐键选择字符生成回复,单次回复上限为 400 次按键和 $0.50。实验显示 JEV 知道答案却难以逐字母拼出,答案锦标赛和提示将脚本化 18 轮英文对话评分从 2.47 提升到 2.77。JEV 输入价格为 $0.042 / 1M tokens、输出免费,一次“hi”成本 $0.00045。

  12. Aravind Srinivas59

    Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas 宣布开源多模态决策模型 pplx-decider-v1-27b,并通过 Decisions API 提供服务。该模型输出固定答案集合上的概率分布而非文本,输入价格为 $0.04/million tokens,在 11 项决策基准的 7,210 行固定面板上总体准确率为 85.71%,高于 Jev 的 84.51%。

    引用Perplexity Developers@perplexitydevs

    Introducing the Perplexity Decisions API. It's powered by pplx-decider-v1-27b, our multimodal decision model trained to output a probability distribution over a fixed set of answers instead of text. It costs $0.04/million input tokens and scores 85.71% across benchmarks.

10月1日周四
  1. Hacker News:AI 热帖24

    Ask HN:物理教学与学术研究应选择哪家 AI 服务商?

    Hacker News 用户发帖征询适合物理教学与学术研究的 AI 服务商,需求涵盖数学与物理推理、论文解析、PDF 综合及讲义、考题生成,日均约 100 次交互并处理 2–3 份多页文档。用户还希望具备原生联网搜索、prompt caching、零数据留存或退出训练,预算约 20 €/月,并在 Gemini Pro、Claude 与 ChatGPT 之间权衡。

  2. IT之家(RSS)36

    华为 Mate XT 2 三折叠手机获 HarmonyOS 7.0.0.109 SP8 升级,通信共享支持多人互助共享

    华为 Mate XT 2 非凡大师三折叠手机推送 HarmonyOS 7.0.0.109 SP8 更新,新增 3D 空间壁纸,并支持与 HarmonyOS 7 手机、平板、鸿蒙电脑多人互助通信共享。更新还支持照片生成 3D 动态照片、深色模式随日出日落切换、熄屏循迹导航,并优化小艺多模态基础大模型推理速度与相机成像。系统采用分批推送,未收到的用户可手动检查更新。

  3. The Decoder81

    OpenAI 称已阻断模型推理窃取行动,但研究人员在 Azure 上仍能复现攻击

    OpenAI 称其发现并关停了一个试图通过加密推理内容迁移和解密来蒸馏模型能力的账号网络,7 月 24 日至 25 日相关请求达到 16,000 次,涉及超过 4,000 名用户和超过 15,000 个关联账号。

    推荐理由:文章把 OpenAI 的封禁措施与研究人员在 Azure 上复现攻击的结果对照,呈现同一模型在不同托管平台防护不一致的问题。

  4. Rohan Paul58

    Meta Superintelligence Labs 论文提出 Agentic Meta-Reasoning,由 worker 执行任务、独立 controller 决定下一步探索、复用和停止,并维护简短进度摘要。

    引用Anirudh Goyal@anirudhg9119

    What if an agent could decide how to structure its own computation? Agentic Meta-Reasoning: Let the model decide what to explore, what to build on, what to verify, and where to spend its next unit of compute: effectively constructing its own computational graph as it reasons. 🧵 Paras Dahal, @anton_bakhtin , @TacoCohen , Zhengxing Chen, Carole-Jean Wu, Rob Fergus, Scott Yih, @syhw , @rsalakhu , @prfsanjeevarora , @jaseweston