Geoffrey Hinton、Yoshua Bengio 等 20 多位专家在 arXiv 政策论文中呼吁政府追踪有多少 AI 研究已由 AI 完成,并评估 AI 自动化研发触发智能爆炸的风险。
A policy paper, written by more than 20 experts including Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio, that asks governments to start tracking how much of AI research is already being done by AI.
AI has jumped from seconds-long tasks in 2023 to tasks that take human experts days.
If runtime costs stayed comparable, the compute 1 frontier developer has today could run an AI workforce equal to millions of top researchers.
OpenAI alone has enough inference compute (i.e., runtime compute) to generate on the order of 10^13 tokens per day.
If AI reached expert level and runtime costs stayed comparable, the compute 1 frontier developer has today (2026) could run an AI workforce equal to millions of top researchers working at once, against the few thousand frontier labs employ in 2026.
来源:Rohan Paul · x.com