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Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 11 天前AI 评分47
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NYU Stern 估值学教授 Aswath Damodaran 表示,AI 若成功形成 $10-$15 trillion TAM,前提是替代人力而非仅作为工具,这一前景“令人恐惧”。他认为若该市场故事成真,半数白领将失业,不仅失去收入,也会失去人生意义,并带来谁来购买产品和服务的社会问题。

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The $10-$15 trillion total addressable market for AI, if it is successful, is actually "terrifying".

- The famous "Dean of Valuation", Professor Aswath Damodaran, of NYU Stern School of Business.

The reason: AI as a tool is a much smaller market; AI as a replacement for human-jobs is where the giant market story comes from.

"The best-case scenario for AI, that $10 to $15 trillion market, will happen if ONLY it replaces people.

If AI is a tool, it’s going to be a much smaller market than if AI replaces people. So, the stories we’re telling about $10, $20 or $25 trillion markets are actually terrifying stories for the rest of the world.

Why? Because if that story comes true, half of all white-collar people are going to lose their jobs. And what are they going to do instead? Who’s going to come up with the income to buy the products and services?

If AI works as well as it’s supposed to and replaces people, how do we deal with that as a society? Because people lose their jobs. Not only do you lose your income, you lose your life’s meaning.."

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Video from "Excess Returns" podcast Youtube channel (link in comment)

来源:Rohan Paul · x.com